A resource for journalists, politicians, policy makers, activists and citizens interested in climate change and the environmental emergency
An earth system model shows self-sustained thawing of permafrost even if all man-made GHG emissions stop in 2020 - Scientific Reports
2023-07-03 (or before) in NatureThe risk of points-of-no-return, which, once surpassed lock the world into new dynamics, have been discussed for decades. Recently, there have been warnings that some of these tipping points are coming closer and are too dangerous to be disregarded. In this paper we report that in the ESCIMO climate model the world is already past a point-of-no-return for global warming. In ESCIMO we observe self-sustained thawing of the permafrost for hundreds of years, even if global society stops all emissions of man-made GHGs immediately. We encourage other model builders to explore our discovery in their (bigger) models, and report on their...
Tagged under: Oceans | Climate Change | Arctic | Albedo | Ice Melting | Tipping Points
Target atmospheric CO2: Where should humanity aim?
2023-07-02 (or before) in arXiv.org e-Print archivePaleoclimate data show that climate sensitivity is ~3 deg-C for doubled CO2, including only fast feedback processes. Equilibrium sensitivity, including slower surface albedo feedbacks, is ~6 deg-C for doubled CO2 for the range of climate states between glacial conditions and ice-free Antarctica. Decreasing CO2 was the main cause of a cooling trend that began 50 million years ago, large scale glaciation occurring when CO2 fell to 450 +/- 100 ppm, a level that will be exceeded within decades, barring prompt policy changes. If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on ...
Tagged under: Climate Change | Antarctic | Albedo | Trees
Earth's Albedo 1998–2017 as Measured From Earthshine
2023-06-13 (or before) in Advancing Earth and Space Sciences JournalAbstract The reflectance of the Earth is a fundamental climate parameter that we measured from Big Bear Solar Observatory between 1998 and 2017 by observing the earthshine using modern photometric ...
Tagged under: Albedo
(PDF) Climate Impact of Decreasing Atmospheric Sulphate Aerosols and the Risk of a Termination Shock
2022-06-30 (or before) in ResearchGatePDF | Significant reduction in atmospheric sulphate aerosols contributes to albedo reduction, acceleration in Earth’s Heating Rate and could cause an... | Find, read and cite all the research you need on ResearchGate
Tagged under: Albedo
Jet Stream Center-of-Rotation to Shift 17 degrees Southward from North Pole to Greenland with Arcti
2022-01-14 (or before) in YouTubeWhen all the sea-ice in the Arctic has vanished from melt and transport, what will happen? This so-called Blue-Ocean-Event (BOE) in the Arctic will mean that...
Tagged under: Oceans | Arctic | Albedo
Albedo - Wikipedia
2021-03-08 (or before) in WikipediaTagged under: Albedo
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